National League - North · Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026
Chester
Home
0-1
Full time
Deva Stadium
Merthyr Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
18%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chester wins
0
Draws
0
Merthyr Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
53%
86%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
9%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Che Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 | Mer Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chester face Merthyr Town in National League - North. Chester have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Merthyr Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 74% probability backing Chester, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chester to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Chester, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Merthyr Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Chester Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 08 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Deva Stadium as part of the National League - North.
