1. Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Mārupe
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Tukums II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mārupe wins
0
Draws
0
Tukums II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
33%
6%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mārupe face Tukums II in 1. Liga. Mārupe have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game). Tukums II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Mārupe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mārupe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Mārupe, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Tukums II. Our top recommended betting pick is Mārupe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
