Segunda Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Felgueiras 1932
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos
Penafiel
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Felgueiras 1932 wins
0
Draws
0
Penafiel wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fel Felgueiras 1932 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Pen Penafiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Felgueiras 1932 face Penafiel in Segunda Liga. Felgueiras 1932 have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Penafiel have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Felgueiras 1932, home advantage and superior chance creation make Felgueiras 1932 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Felgueiras 1932, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Penafiel. Our top recommended betting pick is Felgueiras 1932 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos as part of the Segunda Liga.
