League Two · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Port Vale
Home
1-0
Full time
Vale Park
Exeter City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
29%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Port Vale wins
0
Draws
0
Exeter City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
13%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
18%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Exe Exeter City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 20 | Por Port Vale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Port Vale face Exeter City in League Two. Port Vale have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Exeter City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 53% probability backing Port Vale, home advantage and superior chance creation make Port Vale to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Port Vale, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Exeter City. Our top recommended betting pick is Port Vale Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Vale Park as part of the League Two.
