Segunda División · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Girona
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Castellón
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
27%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Girona wins
0
Draws
0
Castellón wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
45%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cas Castellón | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 | Gir Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Girona face Castellón in Segunda División. Girona have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Castellón have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Castellón's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Castellón to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Girona, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Castellón. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi as part of the Segunda División.
