Ligue 1 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Lorient
Home
2-2
Full time
Stade du Moustoir
Toulouse
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lorient wins
0
Draws
0
Toulouse wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
25%
53%
Attack
25%
53%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
31%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lor Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Tou Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lorient face Toulouse in Ligue 1. Lorient have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Toulouse have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 46% probability backing Lorient, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lorient to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Lorient, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Toulouse. Our top recommended betting pick is Lorient Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir as part of the Ligue 1.
