Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
UD da Serra
Home
1-1
Full time
Campo da Portela
Mortágua
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
20%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD da Serra wins
0
Draws
0
Mortágua wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
95%
55%
Attack
89%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
48%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UD UD da Serra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Mor Mortágua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UD da Serra face Mortágua in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. UD da Serra have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2.33 points per game). Mortágua have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
Mortágua's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mortágua to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for UD da Serra, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Mortágua. Our top recommended betting pick is Mortágua Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Portela as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
