Liga 3 · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Caldas
Home
2-0
Full time
Campo da Mata
Vitória de Sernache
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
13%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caldas wins
0
Draws
0
Vitória de Sernache wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
8%
33%
Attack
25%
53%
Defence
8%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
8%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cal Caldas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Vit Vitória de Sernache | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caldas face Vitória de Sernache in Liga 3. Caldas have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Vitória de Sernache have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 11 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 79% probability backing Caldas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Caldas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Caldas, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Vitória de Sernache. Our top recommended betting pick is Caldas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Mata as part of the Liga 3.
