Primera División · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Atletico Grau
Home
3-1
Full time
Ambrosio Maco Arroyo
Alianza Atletico
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
31%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
18%
Over 2.5
16%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Grau wins
0
Draws
0
Alianza Atletico wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
8%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atl Atletico Grau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Ali Alianza Atletico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Grau face Alianza Atletico in Primera División. Atletico Grau have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Alianza Atletico have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 18% and Both Teams to Score at 16%.
With a 61% probability backing Atletico Grau, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Grau to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Atletico Grau, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Alianza Atletico. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Grau Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 16%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 20:15 (East Africa Time) at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo as part of the Primera División.
