MLS Next Pro · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Ventura County
Home
3-0
Full time
Dignity Health Sports Park
Tacoma Defiance
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
18%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ventura County wins
0
Draws
0
Tacoma Defiance wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
60%
93%
Attack
93%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ven Ventura County | 23 | 14 | 0 | 9 | +17 | 42 |
| 7 | Tac Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ventura County face Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro. Ventura County have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game). Tacoma Defiance have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 85%.
With a 50% probability backing Ventura County, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ventura County to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Ventura County, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Tacoma Defiance. Our top recommended betting pick is Ventura County Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 85% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park as part of the MLS Next Pro.
