Esiliiga A · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Tartu Welco
Home
3-0
Full time
Holm Jalgpallipark
Nõmme Kalju II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.06
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
89%
1.06
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Tartu Welco wins
0
Draws
0
Nõmme Kalju II wins
23 Aug 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
2 - 4
Tartu Welco
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
5%
73%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
89%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tar Tartu Welco | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | +35 | 48 |
| 10 | Nõm Nõmme Kalju II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -29 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tartu Welco face Nõmme Kalju II in Esiliiga A. Tartu Welco have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 15 (0 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Tartu Welco won 1, Nõmme Kalju II won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Tartu Welco, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tartu Welco to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Tartu Welco, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Nõmme Kalju II. Our top recommended betting pick is Tartu Welco Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark as part of the Esiliiga A.
