Primeira Liga · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Moreirense
Home
3-1
Full time
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Marítimo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
23%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Moreirense wins
0
Draws
0
Marítimo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
40%
20%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mar Marítimo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mor Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Moreirense face Marítimo in Primeira Liga. Moreirense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Marítimo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Marítimo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Marítimo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Moreirense, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Marítimo. Our top recommended betting pick is Marítimo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas as part of the Primeira Liga.
