Copa Paulista · Saturday, 19 Sep 2026
São José EC
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Martins Pereira
Comercial
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
25%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
São José EC wins
1
Draws
0
Comercial wins
13 Sep 2026
Comercial
0 - 0
São José EC
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
66%
Win probability
9%
Match Preview & Analysis
São José EC face Comercial in Copa Paulista. São José EC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Comercial have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, São José EC won 0, Comercial won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 24%.
With a 66% probability backing São José EC, home advantage and superior chance creation make São José EC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for São José EC, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Comercial. Our top recommended betting pick is São José EC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 24%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 19 Sep 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Martins Pereira as part of the Copa Paulista.
