Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Home
1-6
Full time
New Dundas Park
Airdrie United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic wins
0
Draws
0
Airdrie United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Airdrie United
last 8 away from home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Airdrie United | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Airdrie United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic face Airdrie United in Challenge Cup. Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). Airdrie United have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Airdrie United. Our top recommended betting pick is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at New Dundas Park as part of the Challenge Cup.
