Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026
Dumbarton
Home
3-2
Full time
Dumbarton Football Stadium
Kilmarnock II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
15%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
94%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
91%
1.03
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
94%
Over 2.5
91%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Dumbarton wins
0
Draws
0
Kilmarnock II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
44%
46%
Attack
66%
20%
Defence
22%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
Dumbarton
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Kilmarnock II
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Dumbarton | Kilmarnock II | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Dumbarton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Kilmarnock II
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Dumbarton face Kilmarnock II in Challenge Cup. Dumbarton have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game). Kilmarnock II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 94% and Both Teams to Score at 91%.
Kilmarnock II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Kilmarnock II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Dumbarton, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Kilmarnock II. Our top recommended betting pick is Kilmarnock II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 91% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 22 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium as part of the Challenge Cup.
