Challenge Cup · Wednesday, 23 Sep 2026
Hamilton Academical
Home
1-0
Full time
ZLX Stadium
Cowdenbeath
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hamilton Academical wins
0
Draws
0
Cowdenbeath wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
53%
86%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Hamilton Academical
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.13
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Cowdenbeath
last 5 away from home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Hamilton Academical | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Hamilton Academical
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
10%
Behind
20%
Cowdenbeath
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Hamilton Academical face Cowdenbeath in Challenge Cup. Hamilton Academical have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game). Cowdenbeath have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 90% probability backing Hamilton Academical, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hamilton Academical to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Hamilton Academical, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Cowdenbeath. Our top recommended betting pick is Hamilton Academical Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 23 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium as part of the Challenge Cup.
