Primera B · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Real Cartagena
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Popayan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Real Cartagena wins
0
Draws
0
Popayan wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rea Real Cartagena | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pop Popayan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Real Cartagena face Popayan in Primera B. Real Cartagena have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Popayan have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
With a 55% probability backing Real Cartagena, home advantage and superior chance creation make Real Cartagena to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Real Cartagena, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Popayan. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Cartagena Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 01:20 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera B.
