Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Alhaurino
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Melilla
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.01 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
13%
Draw
28%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alhaurino wins
0
Draws
0
Melilla wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
75%
22%
Attack
58%
66%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
13%
Win probability
58%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mel Melilla | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 12 | Alh Alhaurino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alhaurino face Melilla in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9. Alhaurino have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game). Melilla have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
Melilla's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Melilla to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 13% win probability for Alhaurino, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Melilla. Our top recommended betting pick is Melilla Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
