Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Recanatese
Home
2-3
Full time
Nicola Tubaldi
Maceratese
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Recanatese wins
0
Draws
0
Maceratese wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
5%
Attack
33%
95%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
15%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rec Recanatese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Mac Maceratese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Recanatese face Maceratese in Serie D - Girone F. Recanatese have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 (1 points per game). Maceratese have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Recanatese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Recanatese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Recanatese, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Maceratese. Our top recommended betting pick is Recanatese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi as part of the Serie D - Girone F.
