NPFL · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Bendel Insurance
Home
4-1
Full time
Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium
Barau FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
29%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bendel Insurance wins
0
Draws
0
Barau FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
55%
55%
Attack
33%
44%
Defence
89%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
27%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ben Bendel Insurance | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 | Bar Barau FC | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | +4 | 52 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bendel Insurance face Barau FC in NPFL. Bendel Insurance have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Barau FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (1.67 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Bendel Insurance, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bendel Insurance to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Bendel Insurance, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Barau FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Bendel Insurance Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium as part of the NPFL.
