USL Championship · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Phoenix Rising
Home
02:00
d ::
Wild Horse Pass Stadium
Las Vegas Lights
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Phoenix Rising wins
1
Draws
0
Las Vegas Lights wins
02 Aug 2026
Las Vegas Lights
1 - 1
Phoenix Rising
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
45%
Win probability
31%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Las Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Pho Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -4 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Phoenix Rising face Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship. Phoenix Rising have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Las Vegas Lights have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Phoenix Rising won 0, Las Vegas Lights won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Phoenix Rising, home advantage and superior chance creation make Phoenix Rising to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Phoenix Rising, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Las Vegas Lights. Our top recommended betting pick is Phoenix Rising Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
