Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Navalcarnero
Home
15:00
d ::
Venue TBC
A Madrid III
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
24%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Navalcarnero wins
0
Draws
0
A Madrid III wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
75%
80%
Attack
50%
66%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
57%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | A M A Madrid III | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 | Nav Navalcarnero | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Navalcarnero face A Madrid III in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5. Navalcarnero have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). A Madrid III have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
A Madrid III's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for A Madrid III to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Navalcarnero, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for A Madrid III. Our top recommended betting pick is A Madrid III Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
