Ekstraklasa · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Pogon Szczecin
Home
15:30
d ::
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Korona Kielce
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
26%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pogon Szczecin wins
0
Draws
0
Korona Kielce wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pog Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 | Kor Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pogon Szczecin face Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa. Pogon Szczecin have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Korona Kielce have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Pogon Szczecin, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pogon Szczecin to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Pogon Szczecin, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Korona Kielce. Our top recommended betting pick is Pogon Szczecin Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera as part of the Ekstraklasa.
