AfriPredictions
Premier League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Liverpool
Home
15:30
d ::
Anfield
Manchester City
Away
Our Prediction ☆☆☆☆ confidence
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
22%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51% 1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74% 1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61% 1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59% 1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72% 1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Liv Liverpool
W W D W W
4-1-0
W-D-L
8:2
Goals
2.6
PPG
W W W W W
5-0-0
W-D-L
14:3
Goals
3
PPG
Head-to-head
0
Liverpool wins
0
Draws
0
Manchester City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86% Recent form 95%
53% Attack 93%
86% Defence 80%
50% Head-to-head 50%
26% Win probability 52%
Team news
Liverpool
  • C. Bradley · Knee Injury
  • H. Ekitike · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • G. Leoni · Knee Injury
  • F. Chiesa · Back Injury
  • J. Gomez · Muscle Injury
  • W. Endo · Off the roster
  • C. Gakpo · Muscle Injury
  • S. Bajcetic · Hamstring Injury
Manchester City
  • P. Foden · Red Card
  • J. Doku · Calf Injury
  • N. O'Reilly · Back Injury
  • M. Nunes · Injury
  • Savinho · Transfer negotiations

Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Man Manchester City 5 5 0 0 +8 15
6 Liv Liverpool 5 2 3 0 +3 9
Match Preview & Analysis

Liverpool face Manchester City in Premier League. Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Manchester City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).

There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.

Manchester City's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Manchester City to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Liverpool, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Manchester City. Our top recommended betting pick is Manchester City Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Anfield as part of the Premier League.
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