Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Airdrie United
Home
3-2
Full time
Albert Bartlett Stadium
Hearts U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
13%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Airdrie United wins
0
Draws
0
Hearts U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
75%
80%
Attack
95%
73%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Airdrie United
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Hearts U21
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
3.75
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Airdrie United | Hearts U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Airdrie United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Hearts U21
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Airdrie United face Hearts U21 in Challenge Cup. Airdrie United have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Hearts U21 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 15 and conceding 12 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 59% probability backing Airdrie United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Airdrie United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Airdrie United, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Hearts U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Airdrie United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium as part of the Challenge Cup.
