Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
East Kilbride
Home
2-1
Full time
K-Park Training Academy
Kelty Hearts
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
10%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
East Kilbride wins
0
Draws
0
Kelty Hearts wins
27 Jun 2026
East Kilbride
4 - 0
Kelty Hearts
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
20%
86%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
6%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
73%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
East Kilbride
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Kelty Hearts
last 8 away from home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| East Kilbride | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
East Kilbride
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Kelty Hearts
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
East Kilbride face Kelty Hearts in Challenge Cup. East Kilbride have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 7 (2.2 points per game). Kelty Hearts have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, East Kilbride won 1, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 73% probability backing East Kilbride, home advantage and superior chance creation make East Kilbride to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for East Kilbride, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Kelty Hearts. Our top recommended betting pick is East Kilbride Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy as part of the Challenge Cup.
