Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Elgin City
Home
0-1
Full time
Borough Briggs
Aberdeen U21
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
13%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Elgin City wins
0
Draws
0
Aberdeen U21 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Elgin City
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
3.38
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Aberdeen U21
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Elgin City | Aberdeen U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Elgin City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
0%
Behind
40%
Aberdeen U21
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
11%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Elgin City face Aberdeen U21 in Challenge Cup. Elgin City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Aberdeen U21 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 59% probability backing Elgin City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Elgin City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Elgin City, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Aberdeen U21. Our top recommended betting pick is Elgin City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Borough Briggs as part of the Challenge Cup.
