Serie B · Friday, 17 Jul 2026
America Mineiro
Home
1-1
Full time
Arena Independência
Ceara
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
America Mineiro wins
0
Draws
0
Ceara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
16%
16%
Attack
5%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cea Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Ame America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
America Mineiro face Ceara in Serie B. America Mineiro have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 (0.5 points per game). Ceara have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing America Mineiro, home advantage and superior chance creation make America Mineiro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for America Mineiro, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Ceara. Our top recommended betting pick is America Mineiro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 17 Jul 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Independência as part of the Serie B.
