Challenge Cup · Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026
Morton
Home
0-1
Full time
Cappielow Park
Kelty Hearts
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
18%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Morton wins
0
Draws
0
Kelty Hearts wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Morton
last 8 at home
1W
0D
7L
0.38
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Kelty Hearts
last 8 away from home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Morton | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Morton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Kelty Hearts
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Morton face Kelty Hearts in Challenge Cup. Morton have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Kelty Hearts have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 60% probability backing Morton, home advantage and superior chance creation make Morton to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Morton, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Kelty Hearts. Our top recommended betting pick is Morton Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 03 Nov 2026 at 19:45 (East Africa Time) at Cappielow Park as part of the Challenge Cup.
