Primera División · Tuesday, 10 Nov 2026
Aurora
Home
1-1
Full time
Felix Capriles
Universitario de Vinto
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Aurora wins
1
Draws
0
Universitario de Vinto wins
20 Sep 2026
Aurora
4 - 2
Universitario de Vinto
02 Sep 2026
Universitario de Vinto
1 - 1
Aurora
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
5%
73%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Aurora
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Universitario de Vinto
last 8 away from home
0W
1D
7L
0.13
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aurora | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Aurora
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Universitario de Vinto
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aurora face Universitario de Vinto in Primera División. Aurora have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Universitario de Vinto have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Aurora won 1, Universitario de Vinto won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Aurora, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aurora to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Aurora, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Universitario de Vinto. Our top recommended betting pick is Aurora Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 10 Nov 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Felix Capriles as part of the Primera División.
