Serie A · Tuesday, 21 Jul 2026
Atletico-MG
Home
1-1
Full time
Arena MRV
Bahia
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico-MG wins
0
Draws
0
Bahia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
50%
50%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bah Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 9 | Atl Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico-MG face Bahia in Serie A. We have no recent results on record for Atletico-MG. Bahia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Atletico-MG, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Bahia. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 21 Jul 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena MRV as part of the Serie A.
