Serie A Predictions for Sunday 11 October: Previews & Tips
By AfriPredictions · · 3 min read
There are 5 Serie A matches on Sunday 11 October. We have gone through each one, looking at recent form, past meetings and what our prediction model expects, so you can see the reasoning behind every pick. All kick-off times are in Kenya time (EAT).
Picks at a glance
| Match | Kick-off (EAT) | Our free pick |
|---|---|---|
| Como vs AS Roma | 13:30 | Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.25 |
| Lazio vs Monza | 16:00 | Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27 |
| Lecce vs Bologna | 16:00 | Double chance: Draw/Away @ 1.29 |
| Sassuolo vs AC Milan | 19:00 | Correct score: 1-1 @ 7.23 |
| Cagliari vs Juventus | 21:45 | Double chance: Draw/Away @ 1.25 |
Como vs AS Roma
Kick-off: Sunday 11 October, 13:30 EAT · Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Full match analysis
Como's last 5 games read DWWWL (latest last): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 11 goals scored and 6 conceded. AS Roma have won 3 of their last 5 matches (WDWWD, latest last), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Goals-wise, Como's recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game and AS Roma's 2.6.
| Como win | Draw | AS Roma win |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | 25% | 25% |
Our model makes Como the favourites at 51%, with AS Roma on 25% and the draw at 25%.
Our free picks:
- Double chance: Home/Draw @ 1.25, our model rates it 75% likely
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.42, our model rates it 66% likely
- Como to win @ 1.84, our model rates it 51% likely
Lazio vs Monza
Kick-off: Sunday 11 October, 16:00 EAT · Venue: Stadio Olimpico · Full match analysis
Lazio have won 3 of their last 5 matches (WWDWD, latest last), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Monza's last 5 games read LDLWD (latest last): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. Goals-wise, Lazio's recent matches have averaged 3.2 goals per game and Monza's 3.8.
| Lazio win | Draw | Monza win |
|---|---|---|
| 68% | 16% | 15% |
Our model makes Lazio the favourites at 68%, with Monza on 15% and the draw at 16%.
Our free picks:
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27, our model rates it 74% likely
- Over 2.5 goals @ 1.45, our model rates it 65% likely
- Lazio to win @ 1.57, our model rates it 60% likely
Lecce vs Bologna
Kick-off: Sunday 11 October, 16:00 EAT · Venue: Stadio Via del Mare · Full match analysis
Lecce's last 5 games read LWLWL (latest last): 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. It is a run they will want to turn around. Bologna have won 0 of their last 5 matches (LLDLD, latest last), scoring 3 and conceding 6. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Lecce's recent matches have averaged 2.6 goals per game and Bologna's 1.8.
| Lecce win | Draw | Bologna win |
|---|---|---|
| 28% | 28% | 45% |
Our model makes Bologna the favourites at 45% despite playing away, with Lecce on 28% and the draw at 28%.
Our free picks:
- Double chance: Draw/Away @ 1.29, our model rates it 73% likely
- Bologna to win @ 2.00, our model rates it 47% likely
- Correct score: 0-1 @ 7.23, our model rates it 13% likely
Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Kick-off: Sunday 11 October, 19:00 EAT · Venue: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore · Full match analysis
Sassuolo have won 1 of their last 5 matches (LDDWL, latest last), scoring 8 and conceding 9. AC Milan's last 5 games read WWDDW (latest last): 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded. Goals-wise, Sassuolo's recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game and AC Milan's 3.6.
Our free pick:
- Correct score: 1-1 @ 7.23, our model rates it 13% likely
Cagliari vs Juventus
Kick-off: Sunday 11 October, 21:45 EAT · Venue: Unipol Domus · Full match analysis
Cagliari's last 5 games read WLWWW (latest last): 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. That is strong form. Juventus have won 2 of their last 5 matches (LLWWL, latest last), scoring 9 and conceding 5. It is a run they will want to turn around. Goals-wise, Cagliari's recent matches have averaged 1.8 goals per game and Juventus' 2.8.
| Cagliari win | Draw | Juventus win |
|---|---|---|
| 23% | 24% | 52% |
Our model makes Juventus the favourites at 52% despite playing away, with Cagliari on 23% and the draw at 24%.
Our free picks:
- Double chance: Draw/Away @ 1.25, our model rates it 75% likely
- Over 1.5 goals @ 1.42, our model rates it 66% likely
- Juventus to win @ 1.84, our model rates it 51% likely
Before you bet
These previews come from match data and our prediction model. Kick-off times can change, so check the match page on the day. 18+ only: please bet responsibly and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. T&Cs apply.
More from AfriPredictions: today's predictions · Serie A predictions and fixtures · our recent winning picks.
