Premier League · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Leeds
Home
4-1
Full time
Elland Road
Newcastle
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leeds wins
0
Draws
0
Newcastle wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
31%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leeds face Newcastle in Premier League. Leeds have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Newcastle have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 46% probability backing Leeds, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leeds to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Leeds, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Newcastle. Our top recommended betting pick is Leeds Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Elland Road as part of the Premier League.
