Correct Score Betting Explained: How to Read Correct Score Predictions
By AfriPredictions · · 2 min read
In a correct score bet you pick the exact final score of a match, for example Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea. If the match ends with any other score, the bet loses, even if you picked the right winner.
How correct score settles
The market is settled on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Goals in extra time and penalty shoot-outs do not count. Many bookmakers also offer an "any other score" option that covers results not listed on their board, such as 5-3.
Why the odds are so high
Every match has many possible scorelines, and only one of them can be right. Even the most likely score in a match usually has a fairly small chance of happening, so bookmakers pay big prices. That is what makes correct score attractive, and also why it loses more often than markets like 1X2 or over/under.
Scorelines that come up often
Across football as a whole, low scores such as 1-0, 1-1, 2-1 and 0-0 appear more often than high-scoring results. That does not make them the right pick for every game. A strong attacking favourite at home may be more likely to win 2-0 or 3-1, while two cautious sides may point towards 1-0 or 0-0.
How to read a correct score prediction
- Start with the likely winner. Our correct score picks come from the same model that estimates each team's expected goals, so the predicted score matches the most likely result.
- Look at the goal expectation. If a match is expected to have few goals, a low score is more natural than a 3-2.
- Use it alongside other markets. A 2-1 prediction also tells you the model leans towards the home side and towards both teams scoring.
- Keep stakes small. Because correct score misses often, it suits small stakes rather than your main bet of the day.
See the latest picks on our correct score predictions page.
18+ only. Please bet responsibly. T&Cs apply.
